Statistical Risk: 
2015 - 2.0%
2014 - 1.2%

World Ranking: 18/162

Population: 12,825,314

Ongoing Episodes:

Statistical Risk Assessment

Early Warning Project Blog

Apr 04, 2014

Considering the relative instability of Chad’s neighbors and Chad’s history of coups and ethnic conflict, why do our experts see such a low chance of a mass killing episode, and what might change their predictions?